PhallicSupermacyOne said: So, this past week saw the NATO Secretary General advise of a war footing for NATO to be ready for expanded coming war with Russia.
Is this a general sentiment among the populace or just military worries?
What does the SG know that we do not concerning Russia????
Will it happen? An actual NATO war with Russia? They cannot win in Ukraine, Syria, elsewhere and their military incompetence is air, land, and sea as well with their moves in the Baltic. All they have are their submarines.......
Russia are winning on the ground in Ukraine. Ukraine is still losing territory in the east. Look at any legitimate map of the war. The Russians are incrementally taking territory. If the goal of the Ukrainians is to take back all of their territory, they won't be able to make that happen -- at least on their own -- because they are simply losing territory on the ground.
By themselves, Ukraine can not win the war. They did a good job kicking the Russians out of central Ukraine, but once it turned into a modern day WW1, trench war situation they made a few gains, and then started losing. One reason is because they are running out of soldiers. To get all their territory back it would take NATO getting fully involved.
The problem with that possibility is that NATO doesn't presently have the personnel to fight a major war -- the only European NATO country that might be prepared for an all-out fight is Poland. The US doesn't have enough soldiers to fight a major ground war, because of attrition, and recruiting being down for the past several years. We would obviously be expected to provide the majority of the soldiers in a potential Ukraine war because we have a bigger military, and if we got involved fighting on the ground in Ukraine we could probably make some inroads, but fighting a ground war in Ukraine is problematic in the US, both on a practical level, and politically. And when I say 'politically', I mean it would not matter who is in the White House, it would be problematic, period; there is a lot of support in some circles in the US to continue backing the War right now, but if it got to a draft and soldiers dying over there, the war would undoubtedly turn wildly unpopular, even among present day war supporters.
If NATO has a war with Russia, there will be a draft in the US, and maybe other NATO countries. Russia may cut off the EU's energy supply completely, and suppliers of gas like Norway and the US would be hard pressed to make up the shortfall (gas still flows across Ukraine from Russia to the EU). Right now Germany and other central EU countries are facing some economic hardships, partly due to energy costs, some of which can be traced to the war -- Nordstream being shut off (the older section of the pipeline that was shut down when the War started) being one of them. Nordstream 1 was apparently supplying the EU countries with 35% of their gas. The gas supply problem increased the cost by 50% according to the BBC in 2022.
Cutting off ALL gas to the EU, and any ground losses, would make NATO countries question being involved in a ground war in Ukraine. It's not something anyone should want to happen, no matter what one thinks of Putin or Russia. WW3 is good for nobody.
This is why I hope the orange asshat can work out a negotiated peace. The killing needs to stop. It's not good for Ukraine, it's not good for Europe, it's not good for anybody. The Eastern territories can be autonomous republics and some sort of security agreement would be necessary for Ukraine's future. The Ukrainians should be able to live in peace. Perhaps a neutrality could be declared, as Switzerland and Austria presently are.
As for the SG, I have no idea what the NATO SG was implying. I have a feeling that a lot of higher ups in the West have been keeping the people in the dark about a lot of things.